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IQ5 rumors

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
Jokes aside – the megapixel discussion has been raised on every back I remember since the P45+ days. Why 60, 80, 100, 150?

The point is that with each back, besides tech, technology alongside it improvied – storage, screen, live view, etc.

The IQ5 might be more than just a new sensor if history holds true. We'll see faster operation, faster I/O, etc. in line with component advancements since 2018/19.

I am looking forward to the new tech – no matter in which shape!
 

TechTalk

Well-known member
A few observations after perusing the thread...

• The 247 megapixel Sony sensor being discussed is an industrial sensor. The design application given in the IMX811 product sheet description lists "FA cameras", with FA meaning Factory Automation applications. It could see use in other industrial applications as well.

• Whether an IMX811 sensor, or one based on a similar architecture, will appear in a consumer camera is as unknowable and uncertain as whether an IQ5 will be produced. Could be, but there's no assurance of it coming from the manufacturers. Some Sony sensors are seen in both industrial and consumer variations while others are exclusive to one group.

The Sony global shutter industrial sensors, for example, include the 128 megapixel IMX661 which caused some excitement due to its global shutter and 46.2 x 32.9 mm size which is only slightly larger than the current 43.8 × 32.9mm 102 megapixel rolling shutter sensor used by Fuji and Hasselblad. Since its introduction a little over three years ago, the IMX661 has been used in industrial and aerial applications; but has not been used in any consumer cameras.

• As for what the future most likely holds in store for us, I'm waiting to hear from Soup before speculating any further.
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
As explained a million times already, the reason why the GS sensor has not been used in photographic applications by P1 is because the dynamic range is significantly reduced. There is no myth about it. It’s very clear. In industrial inspection light conditions are controlled and what matters is quick readout so you can photograph products zipping past the camera array below on an assembly line and check them against a quality standard.

All current top of the line sensors used today across 35mm, crop MF and full frame MF are based on the same pixel pitch and BSI tech as the original IMX411. 60 megapixels on 35mm in Sony and Leica cameras, 100 megapixels on crop MF as used by Hasselblad and Fuji.

The trade off between dynamic range and readout speed has not been resolved and is unlikely to be resolved anytime soon.

P1 will take any next gen sensor with high DR which has a smaller pixel pitch and stuff it into a new body. That’s very certain and most likely a 2025 event in the form of an IQ5. I have often discussed the IQ5 with their sales manager and the answer was always as soon as there is a new sensor generation from Sony. They, as many others, are dependent on Sony going down to the next pixel pitch level. The 811 platform does that.

275 for full frame, 249 in crop. Historically Sony’s high DR industrial chip was cut to different sizes and then sold across brands in high end cameras.

All systems, to progress to the next sales cycle, will want to sport even higher res for marketing and feature reasons. This new chip gen opens up the door for 100 megapixel 35mm systems, 180 megapixel crop MF systems and 250/275 systems.

If history is an indication, we will see the 54x36 sensor in the IQ5 - ie 250 megapixels.

It will sell well as always when a new ultra high end equipment comes out. The classic forum user base here likes to joke about the need for more megapixels etc, as is often the case on forums, but the reality is that the megapixel discussion has existed since many, many years and whenever the new stuff comes people still want it.

Higher resolution is very useful amongst other aspects for aerial inspection purposes so there is little doubt that P1 will implement Sony’s next gen tech in its B2B and therefore also consumer systems as soon as they can. Unfortunately, given the times we live in, higher resolution aerial inspection - as well as military reconnaissance - is more sought after than ever which is why there is a clear business case for Sony to drive the development of even higher res large imaging sensors. The demand comes from industrial and military applications and photography is the lucky beneficiary of new tech on the side.

There is enough demand globally for a few thousand units of that - so it’s going to be exiting to see it in action once it is commercialised.

Given their solid B2B business, P1 will just price it as always on the very high end to make a profit on a per unit basis and sell the next gen back to those willing to pay the price of admission to have the highest res available sensor in little black box to make photos. It’s P1’s business model forever and it’s unlikely to change.

In fact, the release of their own lens line coupled with new products this year as well as renewed marketing activities from bespoke - I am on their emailing list and they seem to have awoken this year - is a clear sign that the photodivision has a new growth target and that they are seeking ways of selling XT, XC cameras. There is still the 90 SB tilt to come out, a new body, new XC stuff and down the line the new back.

It looks bright on the P1 side for new products!

The poll in the other thread was also instructive as it showed that high res, high DR are the foremost concern of the core P1 clientele - P1 stands a very clearly delineated value proposition and the take up globally as a result of that specific product type - ie highest end available chip for 50k USD - will be still high. The forum user base here is only a small subset of the real clients of P1, it seems that the XC for example hasn’t been sold too badly in the US and Asia.
 
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akaru

Active member
Semantically a round solid number like 100 MP must drive some adoption for 135. Us on the forum know better than to look at pure resolution yet I’d still be tempted by a 100 MP Leica M. It just sounds right.

And at 250 MP with even more dynamic range, with a modern lens on a tech cam, it would be difficult to justify 8x10 anymore, at least technically. Especially with an Achromatic.

I’d be in if I had the funds. But I doubt I will, and I don’t have faith it’ll be “just” $25k.

300 MP 54x54 though? I’d find something to sell off!
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
It goes to show that people are very sensitive to the SIZE of the sensor. I hope they do 54x40. That's not even real MF, but it has a distinct look and it would be a shame to lose this USP.
 

akaru

Active member
I think so. A 100MP Leica M with a two or three lens kit could be the perfect balance of quality, portability, and experience. But I’d still be annoyed with the aspect ratio and would end up cropping.

A wider aspect P1 could well be a deal-breaker, at least with HB on their tails.
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
The biggest problem I see for P1 right now is that 54x36 is 3:2 and therefore an inefficient use the mount and that the crop crowd, Leica S4, Hassy next-gen, Fuji next-gen, will be able to include a 44x33 chip which is 180 megapixels with 4:3. This is without even talking about the fact that no one likes to trade in 4:3 for 3:2 on their P1 systems as seen in the poll.

Not only is 4:3 more efficient and sought after by tech cam people, but the "distance" felt between 250 and 180 is not THAAT dramatic while 275 and 180 would be a more substantial difference. Like the same as today - 150 vs. 100.

Leica hasn't announced their mount specs yet, so they COULD upend everything now by including a 48x36 chip which would be a new crop which would strike the ultimate balance between 54x36 and 44x33 with 200 megapixels.

IMHO P1 would be very well advised to discuss a custom 54x40mm chip unique to them so that they can continue with their USP and large-chip storyline they've been pushing over the last years.

An IQ5 with 275 megapixels would be a significant step up and utterly amazing.

What's gonna be very interesting in all of this is the new S4 as Leica will bring out a whole new line up of 2.0 APO optics I hear which should allow for diffraction free sharp imagery across the frame ... at F2.0!

... Essentially going forward the ultimate kit would be:

S4 for colour and replacing all 35mm stuff, adapting all Leica glass + 275 achromatic maybe ...
 

Shashin

Well-known member
"But, my honest opinion is that this back, coupled with the Contax’s Zeiss lenses, produces images as detailed as those that I’ve ever seen from any photographic system that I’ve used in some 40 years as a photographer – and I include 4X5" film, either darkroom printed or drum scanned."

Phase One Back Field Report
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
I can tell you everyone is like "oh I am ok with being last-gen", "who needs that", etc. (like every five years) - but once the ca. 300 megapixel capture system hits the market all of a sudden Dante comes back from his hell-cave smiling and waving at you ...
 

Alan

Active member
Didn’t MR say something similar about an early Canon DSLR as well? 10D?
"But, my honest opinion is that this back, coupled with the Contax’s Zeiss lenses, produces images as detailed as those that I’ve ever seen from any photographic system that I’ve used in some 40 years as a photographer – and I include 4X5" film, either darkroom printed or drum scanned."

Phase One Back Field Report
 
What do you think:

Will Phase One possibly present a new XT camera with more shift (18-20mm) before a new IQ5 with 275 MP is released?

Could a new camera with the P1 shift lenses shift in portrait mode? This would be a new design of the XT. The current XT can only swing in portrait mode.

Are these considerations real or just wishes?

Will we hear news from P1 in 2024?
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
In all likelihood we'll see an XT XL rarther sooner than later, latest with the release of the IQ5 which is expected to be a 2025 event.

A few reasons:

1) XT XL has concetely been discussed within the industry for a while, but priority has been to fix the XT lens line (addition of 40 HR tilt, tilt variants of most lenses incl. now the SB 90 XT)
2) It only makes sense to introduce the SB concept if you intend to provide a larger shift body for use with the XT lens range because the XT could shift the 90 non SB XT already fully without vignetting

I'd expect next:

1) XC 40 HR
2) XT XL with IQ5
3) New homeade XT lenses designed by SK as P1 mentioned with the latest 150mm release that it is the start of a new range of lenses

I would not expect a fully fledged mirrorless lens system to come, but actually a contination of the XC range of lenses and some way for the IQ5 to have a digital EVF - with the 40 XC, the IQ5 and an EVF you'd have a very compact and powerfull all around camera system beating everything in terms of resolution in the market.

Expect the:

XC40 HR to cost 20k
XT XL 8-10k
IQ5 -25-30k with IQ4 tade-in and 45-50k standalone

As said, we might see new P1 SK branded lenses to be used with the SB adapter, but who knows what they are cooking up.

In any case, for ultra stitching - ie 60 XL - you'd still want an Alpa system with the XY or Pano as the XT XL is rumoured to top out at 18-20mm-

An XC40 250 MPX kit alongside the new XT XL will be amazing for P1 and will hopefully revive the category on the ultra high end spectrum of photography.

I really hope they develop the XT XL in a way where one can rotate back and lens mount independently, but who knows ...

Definitely time to hold onto IQ4s, I'd say!
 

Paul Spinnler

Well-known member
I really hope P1 doesn’t follow through this time with their past strategy of keeping certain features to their XT platform in order to force people into buying into it.

If the new IQ5 has EVF compatibility it would be great to be able to use it with third party systems as well, eg Alpa TC and not only via their internal connectors on their X cameras.

They need to understand that the strength of the ecosystem will benefit them overall as well.

Just because the shutter release from the XT, metadata recording have been kept from outside system users.

This means the new IQ5 would need a robust enough wireless EVF or additional connector for non XT system users as you would want to for example also be able to use it on an Arca Factum or TC handheld and keep your existing lens investments protected.

The worst thing they could do is to force XC40 kits as “mirrorless” system solutions as only way to get EVF.

I wouldn’t buy into that vision - not sure how others think; the old open platform Phase would be welcome now
 

Steve Hendrix

Well-known member
Perhaps it’s time for the EU to get them to open up. They are a monopoly when it comes to large sensor medium format now!

Can you explain what you mean exactly when you say they are a monopoly on large sensor medium format and they should open up?


Steve Hendrix/CI
 
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